# Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 10:06:34 GMT. 24h change -0.4pp, 24h volume $279.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31
**Category:** Geopolitics
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T10:06:34.387Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.8pp |
| 24h volume | $279.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $833.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $45.6K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0562…9d66` — 10,000.151 shares
- `0x3f2d…2adc` — 7,984.96 shares
- `0x7a0d…53f7` — 5,496.01 shares
- `0x611b…b334` — 5,100 shares
- `0x34ab…3eb5` — 5,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9351…9e4d` — 54,907.275 shares
- `0x2a01…6397` — 13,249.366 shares
- `0x8454…331a` — 9,999.94 shares
- `0x70c1…1be2` — 7,777 shares
- `0xf769…0114` — 3,652.136 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T11:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T10:04:05.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -0.7pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T10:06:34.387Z from https://orrery.me/markets/trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31.
```

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