# Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 21:22:14 GMT. 24h change -48.4pp, 24h volume $280.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/ucl-ars-atm1-2026-05-05-btts
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-ars-atm1-2026-05-05-btts
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T21:22:14.999Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -41.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -48.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -49.5pp |
| 24h volume | $280.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $294.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $443.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.uefa.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Arsenal FC and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for May 5 at 3:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Arsenal FC and Club Atlético de Madrid each score at least one goal during the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
> 
> If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 78%): Probability moved down 48.4pp in 24h with 0.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x700f…37ae` — 42,690.991 shares
- `0xf3ea…a4cf` — 10,204.082 shares
- `0x072c…f037` — 6,485.523 shares
- `0xa049…b1b1` — 5,274.39 shares
- `0xbd07…8d16` — 5,202.533 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5966…f804` — 62,543.833 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 40,076.92 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 23,701.657 shares
- `0x3b5c…126e` — 12,357.661 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 11,217.919 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T22:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T21:21:03.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -49.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=ucl-ars-atm1-2026-05-05-btts` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T21:22:14.999Z from https://orrery.me/markets/ucl-ars-atm1-2026-05-05-btts.
```

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