# SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:50:47 GMT. 24h change +28.9pp, 24h volume $279.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/uel-scf-ast-2026-05-20-total-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/uel-scf-ast-2026-05-20-total-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:50:47.569Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +26.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +28.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +28.0pp |
| 24h volume | $279.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $279.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $304.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.uefa.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between SC Freiburg and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for May 20 at 3:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if SC Freiburg and Aston Villa FC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
> 
> If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 81%): Probability moved up 28.9pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa6cd…2f2c` — 138,354.033 shares
- `0x6049…f14f` — 25,268.63 shares
- `0x966c…9b1a` — 13,513.514 shares
- `0xbd09…7f92` — 6,666.667 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 5,770.343 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 93,330.052 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 19,105 shares
- `0x4337…8882` — 18,887.912 shares
- `0xf0f7…0c5a` — 15,230 shares
- `0x7ea5…de7b` — 9,286.257 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T21:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:14:05.000Z |
| Range | 71¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +28.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=uel-scf-ast-2026-05-20-total-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:50:47.569Z from https://orrery.me/markets/uel-scf-ast-2026-05-20-total-1pt5.
```

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