# Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 06:30:44 GMT. 24h change -10.4pp, 24h volume $181.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09-strickland-win-by-ko-tko
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09-strickland-win-by-ko-tko
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T06:30:44.850Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -10.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -30.4pp |
| 24h volume | $181.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $226.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $25.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.ufc.com/events

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean Strickland defeats Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
> 
> If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
> 
> If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa4e8…1a01` — 72,666.667 shares
- `0x2021…8b21` — 24,631.917 shares
- `0xfb13…37cd` — 6,327.273 shares
- `0x7c90…4795` — 4,623.035 shares
- `0x465b…fe58` — 3,510.545 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbddf…c684` — 104,819.444 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 41,387.908 shares
- `0xd34b…0004` — 7,341.862 shares
- `0x033f…618e` — 2,222.97 shares
- `0x5159…d7ae` — 1,999.981 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T07:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T06:29:17.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -30.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09-strickland-win-by-ko-tko` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T06:30:44.850Z from https://orrery.me/markets/ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09-strickland-win-by-ko-tko.
```

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