# UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 18% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 01:32:04 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $162.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T01:32:04.456Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **18¢** (18%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -3.0pp |
| 24h volume | $162.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $388.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $185.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.ufc.com/events

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Sean Strickland" if Sean Strickland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.
> 
> It will resolve to "Khamzat Chimaev" if Khamzat Chimaev is officially declared the winner.
> 
> If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1b62…db9c` — 100,000 shares
- `0xdd92…6b2a` — 39,999.714 shares
- `0x03ac…4f55` — 34,407.202 shares
- `0xf2b9…7126` — 10,650 shares
- `0xfb13…37cd` — 10,184.692 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8c80…02c3` — 144,565.804 shares
- `0xd8e7…ef3b` — 12,261.111 shares
- `0x91fe…cfd7` — 8,564.198 shares
- `0xbc52…1f13` — 8,100 shares
- `0x5fcb…f91a` — 6,219.444 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T02:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T01:30:08.000Z |
| Range | 18¢ → 21¢ |
| Net change | -3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) — 18% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T01:32:04.456Z from https://orrery.me/markets/ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09.
```

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