# Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 69% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 23:18:53 GMT. 24h change +2.5pp, 24h volume $302.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/val-kru1-100t1-2026-05-02
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/val-kru1-100t1-2026-05-02
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T23:18:53.119Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **69¢** (69%) |
| Δ 1h | +21.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $302.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $324.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $15.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://vlr.gg

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Valorant match between KRÜ Esports and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win the match against 100 Thieves.
> 
> This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against KRÜ Esports.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 
> 
> If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
> 
> In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xee8e…0a7b` — 106,516.602 shares
- `0xdd88…dadb` — 19,688.799 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 12,484.297 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 11,399.953 shares
- `0x5e0e…bf45` — 10,615.385 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xba38…e406` — 36,050.964 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 20,624.956 shares
- `0x30c7…ac3b` — 15,037.669 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 13,194.603 shares
- `0xf164…8fa4` — 12,721 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 140 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T04:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T23:18:04.000Z |
| Range | 43¢ → 79¢ |
| Net change | -1.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=val-kru1-100t1-2026-05-02` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega — 69% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T23:18:53.119Z from https://orrery.me/markets/val-kru1-100t1-2026-05-02.
```

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