# Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 20:18:46 GMT. 24h change +23.8pp, 24h volume $238.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-alexander-zverev-win-the-2026-mens-french-open
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-alexander-zverev-win-the-2026-mens-french-open
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T20:18:46.426Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +23.8pp |
| Δ 1w | +24.9pp |
| 24h volume | $238.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $973.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $57.9K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 7, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xcd5d…ff7e` — 49,611.867 shares
- `0xd123…d341` — 26,086.2 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 18,501.97 shares
- `0x2c8d…65e7` — 18,348.852 shares
- `0x33c9…6f9a` — 10,796.192 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 214,294.167 shares
- `0xad89…f6e1` — 21,985.745 shares
- `0xdebb…eedb` — 20,191.673 shares
- `0x22d3…5e3a` — 13,981.99 shares
- `0x5eca…b133` — 12,499.99 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T10:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T09:51:04.000Z |
| Range | 7¢ → 8¢ |
| Net change | +1.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-alexander-zverev-win-the-2026-mens-french-open` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T20:18:46.426Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-alexander-zverev-win-the-2026-mens-french-open.
```

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