# Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 09:27:37 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $143.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-antonio-mallo-be-the-next-president-of-andalusia-following-the-regional-election
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-antonio-mallo-be-the-next-president-of-andalusia-following-the-regional-election
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T09:27:37.545Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $143.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $147.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $5.0K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.
> 
> This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
> 
> Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
> 
> If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9f2c…f86b` — 1,004.88 shares
- `0xaaf7…2e27` — 976.856 shares
- `0x3690…e16f` — 311.795 shares
- `0x7495…7fcf` — 224.518 shares
- `0x153c…e5d0` — 200 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 3,071.954 shares
- `0x171f…c7db` — 302 shares
- `0xe526…5afe` — 40.85 shares
- `0xd65a…21eb` — 40.241 shares
- `0xb2f5…c37c` — 21.441 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T10:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T09:27:08.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-antonio-mallo-be-the-next-president-of-andalusia-following-the-regional-election` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T09:27:37.545Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-antonio-mallo-be-the-next-president-of-andalusia-following-the-regional-election.
```

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