# Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:32:49 GMT. 24h change +0.9pp, 24h volume $312.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-nfc-championship-199
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-nfc-championship-199
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jan 25, 2027
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:32:49.023Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | -2.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.9pp |
| 24h volume | $312.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $893.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $51.6K |
| Spread | 1.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jan 25, 2027

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 60%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -2.1pp vs. 24h +0.9pp.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x7495…7fcf` — 985 shares
- `0x2db4…410f` — 442 shares
- `0xf006…bb6c` — 416.7 shares
- `0xa5e3…4d7e` — 407.527 shares
- `0x011f…1122` — 290.64 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 3,368.775 shares
- `0x5245…5b53` — 19.97 shares
- `0x2239…e28e` — 6 shares
- `0x71af…c057` — 5.02 shares
- `0x83a8…8fc2` — 1.139 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T19:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T18:32:03.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 4¢ |
| Net change | +0.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-nfc-championship-199` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:32:49.023Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-nfc-championship-199.
```

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