# Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 16:20:06 GMT. 24h change -0.1pp, 24h volume $434.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-35k-in-may-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-dip-to-35k-in-may-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T16:20:06.689Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $434.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $485.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $95.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xab4e…ba10` — 19,644.083 shares
- `0xe78a…c0f0` — 5,000 shares
- `0xe9dc…dab3` — 3,396.43 shares
- `0x858e…c37b` — 2,985 shares
- `0x3f86…3c1f` — 2,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd883…1d98` — 15,000 shares
- `0x67b6…568e` — 9,227.683 shares
- `0xe40e…a94d` — 5,655.506 shares
- `0x763c…25b2` — 1,111 shares
- `0x6cfc…a5c2` — 1,086.75 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 121 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T15:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T15:59:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 3¢ |
| Net change | -2.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-dip-to-35k-in-may-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T16:20:06.689Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-35k-in-may-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*