# Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 11% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 07:51:07 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $127.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T07:51:07.122Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **11¢** (11%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $127.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $288.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $70.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0838…63b1` — 32,708.361 shares
- `0x4f62…2ce6` — 19,999.96 shares
- `0x716d…4206` — 17,012.122 shares
- `0xa232…d79b` — 10,000 shares
- `0x744c…e37f` — 8,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd83c…19dc` — 21,834.934 shares
- `0x66ad…cc4e` — 19,999.968 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 14,993.474 shares
- `0xaeb8…7e00` — 12,766.606 shares
- `0x0fe4…01b7` — 11,444.175 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 65 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T15:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T07:49:03.000Z |
| Range | 10¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -40.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? — 11% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T07:51:07.122Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*