# Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 9% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 03:34:09 GMT. 24h change +4.0pp, 24h volume $124.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T03:34:09.029Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **9¢** (9%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.9pp |
| Δ 24h | +4.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -4.9pp |
| 24h volume | $124.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $2.9M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $59.1K |
| Spread | 0.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf705…3ca7` — 149,382.49 shares
- `0xb50c…215b` — 51,094.23 shares
- `0xa55c…74ba` — 49,999.83 shares
- `0x3526…aaba` — 43,688.053 shares
- `0xc3c3…eec8` — 41,958.625 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 177,947.945 shares
- `0xf2f6…5817` — 45,469.468 shares
- `0xa0da…1f80` — 35,569.25 shares
- `0xa701…47cd` — 34,944.074 shares
- `0xce71…83bc` — 29,697.33 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T21:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T20:07:05.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 27¢ |
| Net change | -3.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? — 9% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T03:34:09.029Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*