# Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:05:41 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $5.8M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:05:41.698Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $5.8M |
| Lifetime volume | $15.7M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $19.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdafd…fd08` — 22,664.63 shares
- `0xc874…ae4d` — 17,629.954 shares
- `0xca05…2dd7` — 10,077.71 shares
- `0x2559…2032` — 9,999.849 shares
- `0x4bb1…3cac` — 5,370.856 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xcc50…4c82` — 18,537.393 shares
- `0x4f31…efa3` — 11,134.823 shares
- `0x5652…00c9` — 11,060.179 shares
- `0x0ea1…584c` — 10,304.11 shares
- `0x20bd…4845` — 8,884.261 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-25T22:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 3¢ |
| Net change | -0.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:05:41.698Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-june-30-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*