# Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 04:21:59 GMT. 24h change -0.1pp, 24h volume $262.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-105k-in-may-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-reach-105k-in-may-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T04:21:59.605Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.4pp |
| 24h volume | $262.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $869.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $244.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x20f7…382b` — 43,095.845 shares
- `0x4e39…8cbf` — 32,762.28 shares
- `0x8a29…6909` — 22,554.5 shares
- `0x8cf7…aeb3` — 20,511.574 shares
- `0xfbe6…908f` — 16,794.119 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1c4f…2852` — 33,033.033 shares
- `0x3446…b944` — 22,004.86 shares
- `0x6916…2fd4` — 13,343.01 shares
- `0x802b…712e` — 10,187.492 shares
- `0x6072…a182` — 9,999.993 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T03:32:03.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | -0.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-reach-105k-in-may-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T04:21:59.605Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-105k-in-may-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*