# Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:05:57 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $242.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-150k-in-may-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-reach-150k-in-may-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:05:57.912Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $242.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $246.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $464.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa61e…0abd` — 242,943.046 shares
- `0xe1a6…b89c` — 1,200 shares
- `0xcc09…95e2` — 200 shares
- `0x9497…86a9` — 100 shares
- `0xc4c1…33df` — 100 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf46f…f616` — 50,000 shares
- `0x1c4f…2852` — 40,160.643 shares
- `0xa894…bf95` — 27,811.24 shares
- `0x9570…c030` — 25,371.486 shares
- `0xd5c1…5280` — 20,080.32 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 31 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T15:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -1.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-reach-150k-in-may-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:05:57.912Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-150k-in-may-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*