# Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 27?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 02:26:18 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $10.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-79k-on-may-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-reach-79k-on-may-27
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T02:26:18.441Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $10.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $10.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $11.2K |
| Spread | 0.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0a6…2d6c` — 290,000 shares
- `0x00ac…e915` — 17,881.707 shares
- `0x3c5a…0a4f` — 2,000 shares
- `0x054a…f218` — 1,326.352 shares
- `0xe190…0a5d` — 1,249.932 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xff7b…9179` — 207,037.49 shares
- `0x2322…3ede` — 82,459.45 shares
- `0x1247…9ce9` — 8,938.356 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 7,202.544 shares
- `0x562f…e46f` — 5,231.37 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 12 |
| Window start | 2026-05-27T05:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T15:34:03.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 3¢ |
| Net change | -2.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-reach-79k-on-may-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 27? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T02:26:18.441Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-79k-on-may-27.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*