# Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 05:27:55 GMT. 24h change -0.2pp, 24h volume $201.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-84k-april-27-may-3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-reach-84k-april-27-may-3
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T05:27:55.804Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 1w | -10.0pp |
| 24h volume | $201.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $343.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $128.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc131…f290` — 50,000 shares
- `0xa61b…9d74` — 36,819.04 shares
- `0x14e2…282f` — 13,500 shares
- `0x5360…1f6f` — 12,313.108 shares
- `0xcc50…4c82` — 6,630.554 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb7cd…6827` — 34,146.79 shares
- `0x2322…3ede` — 20,099.062 shares
- `0x2a3d…2068` — 15,000 shares
- `0x5403…3719` — 12,000 shares
- `0x21c5…3533` — 9,999.997 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T06:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T05:27:14.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 11¢ |
| Net change | -10.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-reach-84k-april-27-may-3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T05:27:55.804Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-84k-april-27-may-3.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*