# Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 25% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 07:50:56 GMT. 24h change +7.0pp, 24h volume $160.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-90k-in-may-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-reach-90k-in-may-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T07:50:56.270Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **25¢** (25%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +7.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $160.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $260.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $51.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3cd2…31f4` — 90,804.786 shares
- `0xf705…3ca7` — 6,730.22 shares
- `0x9e60…ae42` — 6,000 shares
- `0xc01f…cd8e` — 6,000 shares
- `0x518c…8d39` — 5,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 36,804.334 shares
- `0x0af0…d425` — 24,304.36 shares
- `0x801d…d8e0` — 11,000 shares
- `0x4615…5ccb` — 8,895.537 shares
- `0xe25e…9861` — 5,886.024 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 65 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T15:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T07:40:05.000Z |
| Range | 14¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -25.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-bitcoin-reach-90k-in-may-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? — 25% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T07:50:56.270Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-90k-in-may-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*