# Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 00:13:42 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $203.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-cho-kuk-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-cho-kuk-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T00:13:42.035Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $203.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $3.1M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $531.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
> 
> This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
> 
> If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbefa…300d` — 160,997.076 shares
- `0xa88d…9830` — 147,261.608 shares
- `0x2179…bedb` — 30,210.236 shares
- `0xb9d2…fb68` — 28,999.43 shares
- `0x0862…9e24` — 27,812.569 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 523,126.817 shares
- `0xdaae…ff8e` — 320.327 shares
- `0xc05f…4387` — 222.222 shares
- `0x1fef…8af6` — 155.155 shares
- `0xb988…e1ba` — 142.142 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-14T01:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T00:13:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-cho-kuk-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T00:13:42.035Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-cho-kuk-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election.
```

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