# Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 16% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 12:58:03 GMT. 24h change +2.5pp, 24h volume $127.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-crude-oil-cl-hit-high-150-by-end-of-june-788-691
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-crude-oil-cl-hit-high-150-by-end-of-june-788-691
**Category:** Macro
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T12:58:03.614Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **16¢** (16%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +1.0pp |
| 24h volume | $127.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.8M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $23.7K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
> 
> For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
> 
> Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
> 
> Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
> 
> Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
> 
> This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xafc0…5087` — 63,000 shares
- `0x7d0b…840a` — 48,827.56 shares
- `0x7447…a16d` — 45,494.515 shares
- `0x4bbe…2cf3` — 29,959.181 shares
- `0xbefd…4f2a` — 25,447.726 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb47a…6d60` — 250,353.163 shares
- `0xc8b7…12b9` — 47,411.697 shares
- `0x3e21…35ca` — 39,999.93 shares
- `0xf467…935f` — 26,807.687 shares
- `0xfeff…59da` — 25,863.681 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T13:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T12:56:06.000Z |
| Range | 11¢ → 18¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-crude-oil-cl-hit-high-150-by-end-of-june-788-691` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? — 16% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T12:58:03.614Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-crude-oil-cl-hit-high-150-by-end-of-june-788-691.
```

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