# Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 07:45:30 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $157.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-ed-davey-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-in-2026-255
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-ed-davey-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-in-2026-255
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T07:45:30.861Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $157.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $331.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $29.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
> 
> To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
> 
> If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2956…d31b` — 28,661.126 shares
- `0xe77b…8171` — 15,366.1 shares
- `0xbefa…300d` — 7,409.265 shares
- `0x2179…bedb` — 5,892.812 shares
- `0xab44…a5b9` — 5,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 84,096.062 shares
- `0x520b…100a` — 37 shares
- `0x0ba3…57bc` — 25 shares
- `0x3dc0…544b` — 20 shares
- `0xb647…9ef4` — 15.531 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T08:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T07:43:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-ed-davey-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-in-2026-255` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T07:45:30.861Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-ed-davey-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-in-2026-255.
```

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