# Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 05:44:07 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $117.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-ethereum-dip-to-2300-on-may-5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-ethereum-dip-to-2300-on-may-5
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T05:44:07.920Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $117.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $117.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $6.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb451…6666` — 2,128 shares
- `0xa32a…5c1e` — 2,115 shares
- `0xb1e6…6c43` — 2,110 shares
- `0x7c15…ebb9` — 2,103.31 shares
- `0xa849…b9eb` — 2,101.202 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf25d…9d7a` — 1,005.174 shares
- `0x2e1e…f936` — 35.078 shares
- `0x25e5…0501` — 14.028 shares
- `0xef96…375d` — 12.012 shares
- `0xdd19…25a6` — 5 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T05:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T03:18:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 18¢ |
| Net change | -14.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-ethereum-dip-to-2300-on-may-5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T05:44:07.920Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-ethereum-dip-to-2300-on-may-5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*