# Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 07:50:23 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $140.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T07:50:23.195Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $140.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $8.7M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $826.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
> 
> This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
> 
> If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa61e…0abd` — 413,047.319 shares
- `0xc21e…0215` — 238,425.808 shares
- `0xbefa…300d` — 44,578.82 shares
- `0xe821…b27e` — 29,999.813 shares
- `0x21ff…0d71` — 21,039.851 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 785,711.473 shares
- `0xe265…9c84` — 1,581.28 shares
- `0x3721…1903` — 1,562.88 shares
- `0xeece…b407` — 1,542.92 shares
- `0x8fc8…a337` — 1,515.46 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-29T08:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T07:50:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T07:50:23.195Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion.
```

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