# Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 03:17:13 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $27.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T03:17:13.479Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $27.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $9.7M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $824.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
> 
> This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
> 
> If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc21e…0215` — 418,334.998 shares
- `0xa61e…0abd` — 158,271.521 shares
- `0xbefa…300d` — 95,578.82 shares
- `0xe821…b27e` — 39,999.813 shares
- `0x21ff…0d71` — 21,039.851 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 804,218.485 shares
- `0x55e9…42d9` — 319.327 shares
- `0x125f…1198` — 286.288 shares
- `0x6620…94d0` — 247.257 shares
- `0xe3fa…6294` — 238.238 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T03:17:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T03:17:13.479Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-lance-stroll-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion.
```

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