# Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 21% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 04:45:44 GMT. 24h change -17.0pp, 24h volume $172.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-manchester-city-win-the-202526-english-premier-league
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-city-win-the-202526-english-premier-league
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T04:45:44.659Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **21¢** (21%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -17.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -29.0pp |
| 24h volume | $172.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $12.0M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $78.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
> 
> If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0b9c…7e44` — 509,733.852 shares
- `0x0d16…d24d` — 370,716.296 shares
- `0x2bd3…5f68` — 346,520.535 shares
- `0xd836…ea78` — 272,308.669 shares
- `0x9265…2cc0` — 79,305.087 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 2,896,415.624 shares
- `0x37e4…c991` — 55,142.69 shares
- `0xd914…0d9a` — 18,778.624 shares
- `0xba3c…2e4e` — 12,327.601 shares
- `0xc14e…39a5` — 10,999.975 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T04:44:05.000Z |
| Range | 17¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -29.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-manchester-city-win-the-202526-english-premier-league` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? — 21% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T04:45:44.659Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-manchester-city-win-the-202526-english-premier-league.
```

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