# Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 09:51:37 GMT. 24h change +0.3pp, 24h volume $215.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-matej-tonin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-slovenia
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-matej-tonin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-slovenia
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Mar 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T09:51:37.344Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.3pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.3pp |
| 24h volume | $215.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $234.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $14.6K |
| Spread | 0.70pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Mar 22, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
> 
> To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
> 
> If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd49b…bdf9` — 30,952.706 shares
- `0xe372…eb38` — 10,323.55 shares
- `0x63d4…a2f1` — 4,457.53 shares
- `0xa3ad…6866` — 4,206.091 shares
- `0x1f9e…4f1a` — 3,478.953 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 87,456.099 shares
- `0xa24f…0792` — 11.611 shares
- `0x0336…8163` — 10.01 shares
- `0x6395…36e4` — 9.959 shares
- `0x1f8e…0f5c` — 9.539 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-14T09:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T08:41:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | +0.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-matej-tonin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-slovenia` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T09:51:37.344Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-matej-tonin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-slovenia.
```

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