# Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 08:45:03 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $345.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-merab-dvalishvili-fight-ricky-simn-next
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-merab-dvalishvili-fight-ricky-simn-next
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T08:45:03.351Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $345.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $345.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $200.30 |
| Spread | 1.30pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
> 
> Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
> 
> Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
> 
> If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x613b…da44` — 66.067 shares
- `0x146c…f5fd` — 62.5 shares
- `0x9410…9160` — 57.3 shares
- `0x9dc2…0727` — 31.14 shares
- `0xf82f…5ac5` — 30.952 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 312.195 shares
- `0x6b3a…2841` — 26 shares
- `0x7bff…7cd6` — 10 shares
- `0x77b5…9170` — 5 shares
- `0x77e5…ec41` — 1.002 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T09:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T08:44:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-merab-dvalishvili-fight-ricky-simn-next` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T08:45:03.351Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-merab-dvalishvili-fight-ricky-simn-next.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*