# Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 06:44:14 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $2.0M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-michelle-bowman-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-michelle-bowman-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Oct 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T06:44:14.721Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $2.0M |
| Lifetime volume | $5.2M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $713.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Oct 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
> 
> Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
> 
> If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd6c2…b5a9` — 1,835,583.896 shares
- `0x70f3…2822` — 195,608.93 shares
- `0x57c8…69eb` — 111,287.555 shares
- `0xe25d…1ae4` — 66,147.43 shares
- `0x0042…321e` — 59,124.06 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 1,113,833.091 shares
- `0xed10…d2e5` — 1,097,938.783 shares
- `0x4d14…2366` — 369,706.41 shares
- `0xa8b2…9a39` — 222,221.987 shares
- `0x47ab…95df` — 50,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T07:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T06:44:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-michelle-bowman-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T06:44:14.721Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-michelle-bowman-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*