# Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 03:31:06 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $47.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-june-30-612
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-june-30-612
**Category:** Business
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T03:31:06.756Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $47.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $2.1M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $326.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x43e9…88e5` — 193,373.992 shares
- `0xbefa…300d` — 30,999.751 shares
- `0xe94b…5abe` — 17,865.892 shares
- `0xa445…0286` — 15,128.231 shares
- `0x3143…81b1` — 11,404.477 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 367,490.965 shares
- `0xa272…3f31` — 1,573.3 shares
- `0x8f26…33d1` — 1,148.646 shares
- `0x9403…5ecc` — 772.317 shares
- `0x8014…57c8` — 411.2 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T04:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T03:31:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-june-30-612` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T03:31:06.756Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-june-30-612.
```

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