# Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 10:06:51 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $219.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-111
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-111
**Category:** Business
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T10:06:51.330Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $219.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $555.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $103.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf166…fb37` — 99,999.631 shares
- `0x9ae3…06bb` — 33,016.605 shares
- `0xa445…0286` — 23,499.299 shares
- `0x2179…bedb` — 11,988.831 shares
- `0x7c02…7555` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 219,588.145 shares
- `0xb44f…1594` — 1,721.721 shares
- `0x096b…340e` — 500 shares
- `0xc704…2e31` — 385.36 shares
- `0x0142…4f91` — 363.363 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T11:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T10:06:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-111` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T10:06:51.330Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-microsoft-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-111.
```

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