# Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 19% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:31:46 GMT. 24h change -0.1pp, 24h volume $255.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-2026-mens-french-open
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-2026-mens-french-open
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:31:46.829Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **19¢** (19%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +13.5pp |
| 24h volume | $255.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.2M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $56.2K |
| Spread | 1.50pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 7, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5eca…b133` — 25,000 shares
- `0x5452…d448` — 21,889.36 shares
- `0x6644…9c07` — 18,639.112 shares
- `0x58b3…653c` — 17,355.028 shares
- `0x8628…6f0b` — 15,272.597 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 280,976.72 shares
- `0x5fd8…ce32` — 16,130.848 shares
- `0xfb64…5e23` — 15,210.708 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 12,962.9 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 10,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T15:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T14:32:05.000Z |
| Range | 5¢ → 23¢ |
| Net change | +17.8pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-novak-djokovic-win-the-2026-mens-french-open` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? — 19% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:31:46.829Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-2026-mens-french-open.
```

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