# Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 22:16:32 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $269.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-971
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-971
**Category:** Business
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T22:16:32.974Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.9pp |
| 24h volume | $269.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.7M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $106.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 32h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x69aa…8847` — 144,659.258 shares
- `0x4266…5305` — 41,840.516 shares
- `0x94a4…6356` — 38,351.791 shares
- `0xfaf9…f4c4` — 30,068.109 shares
- `0x7e78…3945` — 19,486.685 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 280,658.859 shares
- `0x2165…f598` — 84,748.377 shares
- `0x2061…8ec9` — 69,951.452 shares
- `0x907d…20c4` — 52,233.277 shares
- `0x6bd4…ed58` — 30,620.69 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T22:16:05.000Z |
| Range | 99¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-971` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T22:16:32.974Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31-971.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*