# Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 16:06:30 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $265.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-oliver-bearman-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-oliver-bearman-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T16:06:30.323Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $265.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $9.7M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $806.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
> 
> This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
> 
> If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc21e…0215` — 329,224.877 shares
- `0x8f41…260e` — 237,743.973 shares
- `0x21ff…0d71` — 54,991.11 shares
- `0x9629…b148` — 51,108.439 shares
- `0x0862…9e24` — 39,726 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 795,348.633 shares
- `0x0ca5…ef38` — 223.452 shares
- `0xe214…f423` — 211.854 shares
- `0x2b12…be81` — 206.533 shares
- `0x6b56…e75f` — 202 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T16:06:08.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-oliver-bearman-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T16:06:30.323Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-oliver-bearman-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion.
```

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