# Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 23:28:37 GMT. 24h change -0.4pp, 24h volume $204.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-openai-ipo-by-june-30-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-ipo-by-june-30-2026
**Category:** Business
**Resolves by:** TBD
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T23:28:37.973Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.4pp |
| 24h volume | $204.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $463.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $132.3K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** TBD

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
> 
> If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
> 
> The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x27ac…08b0` — 45,500.87 shares
- `0x7feb…6612` — 12,942.079 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 11,800.43 shares
- `0x68c2…1711` — 9,607.686 shares
- `0xec2d…de68` — 6,301.898 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xcaab…24dd` — 51,002.406 shares
- `0xed10…d2e5` — 33,541.972 shares
- `0xb48e…a144` — 11,453.045 shares
- `0xcdb1…276c` — 7,611.316 shares
- `0x4755…4338` — 5,990 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-14T00:00:21.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T23:28:07.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -0.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-openai-ipo-by-june-30-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T23:28:37.973Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-openai-ipo-by-june-30-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*