# Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:52:27 GMT. 24h change -0.1pp, 24h volume $226.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-park-hong-keun-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-park-hong-keun-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:52:27.841Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $226.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $3.6M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $469.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
> 
> This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
> 
> If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0862…9e24` — 249,997.968 shares
- `0xbefa…300d` — 32,712.975 shares
- `0xb9d2…fb68` — 29,999.146 shares
- `0x6480…8dc5` — 21,607.25 shares
- `0x2179…bedb` — 20,712.715 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 523,025.817 shares
- `0x4b74…e8d7` — 544.502 shares
- `0x1169…7118` — 199.209 shares
- `0x29cd…b6c9` — 173.173 shares
- `0x1f3e…fcfd` — 145.145 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T21:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:52:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-park-hong-keun-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:52:27.841Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-park-hong-keun-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election.
```

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