# Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 59% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 02:14:18 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $91.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-psg-win-the-202526-champions-league
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-psg-win-the-202526-champions-league
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T02:14:18.947Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **59¢** (59%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +1.0pp |
| 24h volume | $91.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $9.3M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.1M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
> 
> If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x85f0…3f67` — 636,665.396 shares
- `0xdf0e…5c89` — 150,348.24 shares
- `0x8b5a…00f2` — 118,061.382 shares
- `0xddf4…2680` — 68,965.517 shares
- `0x274c…da86` — 65,136.155 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 1,931,640.323 shares
- `0xfea3…d227` — 249,926.689 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 186,730.833 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 65,056.607 shares
- `0x9106…afcb` — 30,001.146 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T03:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T02:12:05.000Z |
| Range | 57¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-psg-win-the-202526-champions-league` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? — 59% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T02:14:18.947Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-psg-win-the-202526-champions-league.
```

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