# Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 04:07:12 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $388.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-rae-huang-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-893
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-rae-huang-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-893
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Jun 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T04:07:12.990Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.9pp |
| 24h volume | $388.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $460.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $28.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 2, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbbd2…9b1a` — 10,099.915 shares
- `0x07ee…8dfe` — 3,764.564 shares
- `0x1c14…0869` — 2,094.207 shares
- `0xde04…fa37` — 2,000 shares
- `0x3c69…4622` — 688.982 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 15,002.891 shares
- `0x8055…44c4` — 3,835.882 shares
- `0x39a5…87f2` — 3,161.99 shares
- `0x000d…758e` — 817.4 shares
- `0xee7a…9d04` — 291.386 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T05:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T04:07:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -0.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-rae-huang-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-893` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T04:07:12.990Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-rae-huang-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-893.
```

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