# Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 07:43:55 GMT. 24h change +2.1pp, 24h volume $153.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Jun 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T07:43:55.038Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.7pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +3.1pp |
| 24h volume | $153.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $12.2M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $136.9K |
| Spread | 1.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 7, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. 
> 
> This market includes any potential second round. 
> 
> If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) 

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x629b…995a` — 114,125.909 shares
- `0xfd8f…6f11` — 93,593.399 shares
- `0x076b…57af` — 80,482.276 shares
- `0x6b60…9c7e` — 60,467.388 shares
- `0x682d…31ab` — 59,595.725 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 1,441,876.692 shares
- `0xea79…a9cc` — 20,472.347 shares
- `0x1fee…ed5e` — 9,981.694 shares
- `0x784f…5df9` — 9,509.774 shares
- `0x1e3a…9e14` — 4,763.046 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T08:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T07:42:03.000Z |
| Range | 31¢ → 38¢ |
| Net change | +3.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T07:43:55.038Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election.
```

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