# Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 4% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:31:47 GMT. 24h change +0.6pp, 24h volume $317.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-ryan-flaherty-be-the-next-permanent-manager-of-the-philadelphia-phillies
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-ryan-flaherty-be-the-next-permanent-manager-of-the-philadelphia-phillies
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jan 1, 2027
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:31:47.487Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **4¢** (4%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.2pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.6pp |
| Δ 1w | -5.7pp |
| 24h volume | $317.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $317.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.3K |
| Spread | 7.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jan 1, 2027

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies.
> 
> If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
> 
> Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
> 
> An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 15%): Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T19:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T18:31:04.000Z |
| Range | 4¢ → 22¢ |
| Net change | -5.7pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-ryan-flaherty-be-the-next-permanent-manager-of-the-philadelphia-phillies` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? — 4% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:31:47.487Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-ryan-flaherty-be-the-next-permanent-manager-of-the-philadelphia-phillies.
```

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