# Will Shavkat Rakhmonov be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 06:59:57 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $197.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-shavkat-rakhmonov-be-the-ufc-welterweight-champion-on-december-31-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-shavkat-rakhmonov-be-the-ufc-welterweight-champion-on-december-31-2026
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T06:59:57.698Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $197.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $200.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $2.8K |
| Spread | 0.50pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
> 
> If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x7b89…cb19` — 469.008 shares
- `0xbda7…3e66` — 153.734 shares
- `0x1092…40c5` — 144.298 shares
- `0xe372…eb38` — 86.33 shares
- `0x1e69…e777` — 80 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 1,096.155 shares
- `0xaedd…150c` — 100 shares
- `0x21ff…0d71` — 20.1 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 16 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T11:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T10:13:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-shavkat-rakhmonov-be-the-ufc-welterweight-champion-on-december-31-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Shavkat Rakhmonov be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T06:59:57.698Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-shavkat-rakhmonov-be-the-ufc-welterweight-champion-on-december-31-2026.
```

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