# Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 24% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 06:47:28 GMT. 24h change +2.0pp, 24h volume $231.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-spencer-pratt-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-983
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-spencer-pratt-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-983
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Jun 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T06:47:28.720Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **24¢** (24%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -2.0pp |
| 24h volume | $231.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.6M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $336.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 2, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf7a5…2165` — 163,866.933 shares
- `0x0f59…bdf0` — 108,917.31 shares
- `0xc318…dff0` — 50,802.967 shares
- `0xafe6…8192` — 35,000.023 shares
- `0x53e5…6177` — 35,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe25b…0f1b` — 162,511.403 shares
- `0x44c1…ebc1` — 137,853.93 shares
- `0xde7b…5f4b` — 83,115.355 shares
- `0xa022…77f8` — 77,469.974 shares
- `0xe899…0899` — 51,143.5 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T01:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T00:23:05.000Z |
| Range | 21¢ → 27¢ |
| Net change | -2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-spencer-pratt-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-983` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? — 24% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T06:47:28.720Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-spencer-pratt-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-983.
```

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