# Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 21:24:25 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $131.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Nov 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T21:24:25.239Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $131.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $582.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $143.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Nov 3, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
> 
> If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb36b…7804` — 88,592.487 shares
- `0x0042…321e` — 17,756.85 shares
- `0x1b17…6adb` — 7,828.58 shares
- `0x1fc9…ace5` — 4,166.64 shares
- `0x4e25…d7a7` — 2,500 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 139,117.516 shares
- `0x0200…7936` — 200.401 shares
- `0x9d26…1f24` — 80.16 shares
- `0x1cfc…2111` — 57.87 shares
- `0xad6a…2d53` — 52.104 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T22:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T21:23:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T21:24:25.239Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026.
```

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