# Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 03:58:10 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $208.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-tesla-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31
**Category:** Business
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T03:58:10.894Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $208.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $677.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $140.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1efd…e08a` — 76,453.81 shares
- `0xa445…0286` — 46,378.426 shares
- `0xd49b…bdf9` — 15,050.45 shares
- `0x5241…de5a` — 11,000 shares
- `0x9eac…c2c7` — 11,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 197,522.74 shares
- `0x8d37…b317` — 10,000 shares
- `0x5c68…e0c8` — 1,666.616 shares
- `0x6ce9…af21` — 846.106 shares
- `0x4688…6f23` — 831.321 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T04:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T03:57:17.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-tesla-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T03:58:10.894Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-tesla-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-may-31.
```

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