# Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 02:41:29 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $30.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-chicago-white-sox-win-the-2026-world-series
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chicago-white-sox-win-the-2026-world-series
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Oct 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T02:41:29.980Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $30.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.9M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $127.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Oct 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. 
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9c66…6b66` — 30,507.686 shares
- `0x43e9…88e5` — 25,446.125 shares
- `0x6161…8ad9` — 23,131.87 shares
- `0xbefa…300d` — 10,999.923 shares
- `0x2106…4dea` — 4,000.005 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 102,075.124 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 920.58 shares
- `0xf09c…3442` — 433.166 shares
- `0xdea7…eac0` — 272.362 shares
- `0xd48b…ed73` — 217.085 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T03:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T02:41:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-chicago-white-sox-win-the-2026-world-series` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T02:41:29.980Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-chicago-white-sox-win-the-2026-world-series.
```

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