# Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:50:47 GMT. 24h change -0.2pp, 24h volume $231.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-colorado-avalanche-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-colorado-avalanche-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:50:47.412Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.3pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 1w | +1.3pp |
| 24h volume | $231.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $14.7M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $119.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
> 

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6a72…33ee` — 100,099.156 shares
- `0xe73e…74fe` — 74,045.413 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 71,072.232 shares
- `0xde7b…5f4b` — 70,933.466 shares
- `0xb9c7…aade` — 34,751.543 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 527,364.471 shares
- `0x1925…4654` — 203,668.487 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 99,560.394 shares
- `0xe3c9…4b9c` — 37,324.764 shares
- `0x0cc0…5765` — 23,516.809 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T21:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:49:04.000Z |
| Range | 37¢ → 42¢ |
| Net change | +1.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-colorado-avalanche-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:50:47.412Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-colorado-avalanche-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup.
```

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