# Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 13:07:44 GMT. 24h change -0.7pp, 24h volume $199.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-los-angeles-lakers-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-los-angeles-lakers-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T13:07:44.395Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.7pp |
| Δ 1w | -3.5pp |
| 24h volume | $199.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $2.6M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $182.4K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 16, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025–26 NBA Western Conference Finals based on the rules of the NBA.
> 
> If the 2025-26 NBA Western Conference Finals winner is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x011f…1122` — 78,405.556 shares
- `0xf49c…9786` — 65,346.146 shares
- `0x51fd…4272` — 17,828.861 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 13,179.604 shares
- `0x5f54…d00b` — 12,900.527 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 205,569.589 shares
- `0xfea3…d227` — 86,138.41 shares
- `0x4004…c40b` — 26,320.001 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 14,237.469 shares
- `0xc7ed…6c8b` — 6,821.44 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T14:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T13:07:14.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 5¢ |
| Net change | -3.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-los-angeles-lakers-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T13:07:44.395Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-los-angeles-lakers-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals.
```

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