# Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 14% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 02:17:52 GMT. 24h change +0.9pp, 24h volume $192.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T02:17:52.705Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **14¢** (14%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +3.7pp |
| 24h volume | $192.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $13.9M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $337.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdb27…c56e` — 628,320.339 shares
- `0xde7c…c933` — 355,286.865 shares
- `0xc8ec…e8f1` — 225,275.807 shares
- `0xf49c…9786` — 135,583.186 shares
- `0x5128…13d9` — 133,009.434 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 5,057,596.832 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 52,262.499 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 44,618.433 shares
- `0xee00…cea1` — 16,217.736 shares
- `0xd914…0d9a` — 15,607.73 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T03:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T02:16:05.000Z |
| Range | 11¢ → 16¢ |
| Net change | +3.6pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? — 14% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T02:17:52.705Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals.
```

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