# Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 7% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 01:59:49 GMT. 24h change +1.7pp, 24h volume $196.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T01:59:49.218Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **7¢** (7%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.7pp |
| Δ 1w | +4.2pp |
| 24h volume | $196.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $11.1M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $198.3K |
| Spread | 0.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdb27…c56e` — 620,786.379 shares
- `0xf49c…9786` — 348,330.38 shares
- `0xde7c…c933` — 341,633.776 shares
- `0x777d…5143` — 116,498.744 shares
- `0x51fd…4272` — 115,923.32 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 4,176,603.746 shares
- `0x20d6…3856` — 17,138.59 shares
- `0xee00…cea1` — 16,217.736 shares
- `0x1223…d424` — 11,084.658 shares
- `0x7a18…d1c9` — 5,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T02:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T01:59:04.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 8¢ |
| Net change | +4.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? — 7% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T01:59:49.218Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals.
```

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