# Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 14:19:07 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $3.7M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-next-prime-minister-of-hungary-be-istvn-kapitny
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-next-prime-minister-of-hungary-be-istvn-kapitny
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** Apr 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T14:19:07.106Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $3.7M |
| Lifetime volume | $20.4M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $148.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Apr 12, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
> 
> This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
> 
> To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
> 
> If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x829e…2c6d` — 339,285.66 shares
- `0x5fad…b78f` — 300,691.046 shares
- `0x585a…26ec` — 266,359.719 shares
- `0x9610…3441` — 202,683.49 shares
- `0x5847…5420` — 200,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 5,206,180.41 shares
- `0x8de6…2938` — 14,000 shares
- `0xa667…ceb3` — 2,559.04 shares
- `0x9507…7b04` — 1,000 shares
- `0x7022…f64e` — 720.687 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T15:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T14:17:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 0¢ |
| Net change | -0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-next-prime-minister-of-hungary-be-istvn-kapitny` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T14:19:07.106Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-next-prime-minister-of-hungary-be-istvn-kapitny.
```

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