# Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 00:15:52 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $233.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-street-this-week
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-street-this-week
**Category:** Culture
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T00:15:52.473Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -91.0pp |
| 24h volume | $233.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $330.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $326.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `disputed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `disputed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between May 4 and May 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
> 
> Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
> 
> Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
> 
> Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify.
> 
> Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
> 
> Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
> 
> If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.)
> If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, usage of that hyphenated compound qualifies. (E.g. if the listed term is NATO, pro-NATO and anti-NATO qualify.)
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3839…5f3e` — 100,000 shares
- `0xf6bd…2bd4` — 43,455.565 shares
- `0x8f5d…eab9` — 33,333 shares
- `0x27e0…b09b` — 13,510 shares
- `0xb6ff…4411` — 10,340 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2785…70ae` — 208,193 shares
- `0x8b39…32cb` — 20,000 shares
- `0x45bc…978b` — 15,000 shares
- `0x1295…5cfd` — 7,487.825 shares
- `0x47ab…95df` — 5,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T01:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T00:14:11.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 93¢ |
| Net change | -91.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-street-this-week` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T00:15:52.473Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-street-this-week.
```

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