# Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:05:19 GMT. 24h change -0.3pp, 24h volume $413.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-orlando-magic-win-the-2026-nba-finals
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-orlando-magic-win-the-2026-nba-finals
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:05:19.280Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.3pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.4pp |
| 24h volume | $413.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $14.9M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $444.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdb27…c56e` — 1,183,265.238 shares
- `0x51fd…4272` — 446,797.27 shares
- `0xd7b0…5d96` — 299,648.202 shares
- `0xef9f…8924` — 299,319.96 shares
- `0xf49c…9786` — 185,286.649 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 4,160,682.643 shares
- `0x160d…5295` — 100,385.71 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 98,438.109 shares
- `0x6814…a9e7` — 39,385.84 shares
- `0x07e7…a343` — 25,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-25T22:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:03:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -0.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-orlando-magic-win-the-2026-nba-finals` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:05:19.280Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-orlando-magic-win-the-2026-nba-finals.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*