# Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 27?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 16:37:19 GMT. 24h change -0.3pp, 24h volume $217.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-68000-70000-on-may-27-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-68000-70000-on-may-27-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T16:37:19.958Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.3pp |
| Δ 1w | -50.0pp |
| 24h volume | $217.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $220.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $261.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0a6…2d6c` — 210,999.995 shares
- `0x1ec6…2c80` — 1,820 shares
- `0x1685…69e5` — 1,499.995 shares
- `0x27ab…e521` — 1,142.36 shares
- `0xfbd8…4027` — 675 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xff7b…9179` — 206,715 shares
- `0xa5ef…2966` — 6,775.372 shares
- `0xb7cd…6827` — 2,634.27 shares
- `0xfa95…6ac7` — 1,986.31 shares
- `0xfdf3…2583` — 268 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 164 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T11:41:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 3¢ |
| Net change | -1.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-68000-70000-on-may-27-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 27? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T16:37:19.958Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-68000-70000-on-may-27-2026.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*